ST
St Gallen
D
W
D
W
D
2 - 1
VS
WIN
Winterthur
L
L
L
L
D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing St Gallen to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.29
~60% implied
Confidence
β
β
β
β
β
42%
Value Play
β
18+ Β· Gamble responsibly Β· Tips are not guarantees Β·
GambleAware Β·
GamCare
Supporting Bets
β
Main
1 β St Gallen to win
@1.29
H2H
Over 2.5
100%
Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.
Bettor Intelligence
π Value Assessment
-17.5%
edge
No Value
Market implies 77.5% probability. Our estimate is 60%, a -17.5% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
π° Kelly Criterion
β Kelly returns a negative stake β the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
β Head to Head
St Gallen0W
Draw5
Winterthur0W
Against
St Gallen won 0 of the last 5 meetings (5 draws).
π Recent Form
St Gallen winsβ
Winterthur winsβ
Goals per gameβ
H2H avg goals4.8
Mixed
Not enough form data.
β
St Gallen form
β
Winterthur form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
4.8
H2H avg goals
Match History
Head to Head
18.02.26
: WIN
STG - SL
1
5
09.08.25
: STG
WIN - SL
5
0
10.05.25
: STG
WIN - SL
1
4
01.03.25
: WIN
STG - SL
4
0
30.10.24
: STG
WIN - SL
2
2
Recent Results
St Gallen
21.02.26
: SER
STG - SL
1
1
18.02.26
: WIN
STG - SL
1
5
14.02.26
: STG
GRA - SL
0
0
11.02.26
: STG
YB - SL
2
1
08.02.26
: LAU
STG - SL
1
1
Winterthur
25.02.26
: WIN
THU - SL
0
3
18.02.26
: WIN
STG - SL
1
5
14.02.26
: YB
WIN - SL
6
1
11.02.26
: ZUR
WIN - SL
3
0
07.02.26
: WIN
LUG - SL
1
1
Expert Analysis
St. Gallen sits comfortably in second place in the Swiss Super League and has turned their home ground into a point-generating machine. They face a Winterthur side rooted to the bottom of the table with a staggering -43 goal difference. The H2H stats are grim for the visitors, who have lost four of their last five matches. St. Gallen needs the win to keep pressure on league leaders Thun, and given Winterthurβs defensive vulnerabilities, the home side is expected to control this from start to finish.
Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for St Gallen vs Winterthur?
Our top pick is 1 β St Gallen to win at around 1.29. Confidence: 42%.
What is St Gallen's recent form?
Recent form: D/W/D/W/D
How has Winterthur been performing?
Recent form: L/L/L/L/D
What is the H2H record?
St Gallen 0 wins vs Winterthur's 0, with 5 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 4.8 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Insufficient data β see the preview for context.