🏆 Iran Persian Gulf Pro League 📅 Monday, 19th October 2026 ⏰ 1:00 pm 📍 N/A ⏳ —
MES
Mes Shahr Babak
L D L D D
VS
PER
Persepolis
D W W D W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
2
We're backing Persepolis to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.32
~81% implied
Confidence
★★★★★
63%
Solid Pick
⚠ 18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 2 — Persepolis to win @1.32
Goals Under 2.5 85%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
+5.2%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 75.8% but our model gives it 81%. That's a +5.2% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 21.6% $216.00
Half Kelly 10.8% $108.00
Quarter Kelly 5.4% $54.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
Form Streak Tracker
Mes Shahr Babak
L D L D D D D L W D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
Persepolis
L D L D D D D L W D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Mixed No H2H data on record.
📈 Recent Form
Mes Shahr Babak wins1/10
Persepolis wins1/10
Goals per game1
H2H avg goals—
Caution Persepolis: 1W 6D 3L from 10 games.
1-6-3
Mes Shahr Babak form
1-6-3
Persepolis form
—
H2H BTTS rate
—
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Mes Shahr Babak
Overall
2.8 ▲
Scoring
2.7 —
Defence
6.0 —
Persepolis
Overall
2.8 ▲
Scoring
0.0 —
Defence
10.0 —
Key Analytics
Mes Shahr Babak
0.8
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Persepolis
0
Goals
scored/game
0
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Home Win & BTTS No 9%
Draw & BTTS Yes 23%
Draw & BTTS No 53%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 2%
Home Win & Under 2.5 11%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 64%
Away Win & Over 2.5 2%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
Match History
Head to Head

Awaiting data.

Recent Results
Mes Shahr Babak
08.10.26
PGL
Foolad
Mes Shahr Babak
2
1
L
13.09.26
PGL
Mes Shahr Babak
Nassaji Mazandaran
1
1
D
07.09.26
PGL
Mes Shahr Babak
Malavan
1
2
L
03.09.26
PGL
Fajr Sepasi
Mes Shahr Babak
1
1
D
29.08.26
PGL
Mes Shahr Babak
Sanat Naft
0
0
D
24.08.26
PGL
Zob Ahan
Mes Shahr Babak
1
1
D
19.08.26
PGL
Mes Shahr Babak
Kheybar Khorramabad
1
1
D
14.08.26
PGL
Esteghlal F.C.
Mes Shahr Babak
4
0
L
16.07.26
AL
Naft Gachsaran
Mes Shahr Babak
0
2
W
11.07.26
AL
Mes Shahr Babak
Kara Gostar
0
0
D
Persepolis
08.10.26
PGL
Foolad
Mes Shahr Babak
2
1
L
13.09.26
PGL
Mes Shahr Babak
Nassaji Mazandaran
1
1
D
07.09.26
PGL
Mes Shahr Babak
Malavan
1
2
L
03.09.26
PGL
Fajr Sepasi
Mes Shahr Babak
1
1
D
29.08.26
PGL
Mes Shahr Babak
Sanat Naft
0
0
D
24.08.26
PGL
Zob Ahan
Mes Shahr Babak
1
1
D
19.08.26
PGL
Mes Shahr Babak
Kheybar Khorramabad
1
1
D
14.08.26
PGL
Esteghlal F.C.
Mes Shahr Babak
4
0
L
16.07.26
AL
Naft Gachsaran
Mes Shahr Babak
0
2
W
11.07.26
AL
Mes Shahr Babak
Kara Gostar
0
0
D
Expert Analysis

Right, let us dig into this Iran Persian Gulf Pro League fixture properly, because the surface-level version of this match and the actual version of this match are two very different things.

The hosts arrive on 3 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The headline is one thing; the story underneath is another. We want to know what kind of phase this team is in. Are they peaking, finding their rhythm just as the calendar gets serious? Or did they burn bright early and have quietly been running on fumes since? The recent results at home hold that answer, and N/A has a way of either lifting a confident side or exposing a fragile one.

The away team responds with 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games. There is a lag in how the market prices travelling form — a side that has sharpened up on the road over recent weeks can stay underpriced for a while, and a team coasting on an early-season away run can stay overpriced just as long. We try to catch that gap before it closes.

Stack the two profiles against each other and the lean becomes obvious. It is not about who is the bigger name; it is about who is in the better place right now, at this exact point in the season. Our call lands on 2 at @1.32, which we make roughly a around 2 in 10 shout. Kick-off is 1:00 pm.

That is the pick and the reasoning behind it, laid bare. Swing through the rest of today’s tips while you are here — there is value scattered across the card if you know where to look.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Mes Shahr Babak vs Persepolis?
Our top pick is 2 — Persepolis to win at around 1.32. Confidence: 63%.
What is Mes Shahr Babak's recent form?
Mes Shahr Babak have won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10 — poor form.
How has Persepolis been performing?
Persepolis: 1W 6D 3L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
No recent H2H data available.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 1 goals.
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