🏆 Latvia Nakotnes Liga 📅 Saturday, 1st August 2026 ⏰ 12:00 pm 📍 N/A ⏳ —
VAL
Valmiera
W W L W W
VS
RFS
RFS 2
W L D L W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Valmiera to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.19
~50% implied
Confidence
63%
Solid Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Valmiera to win @1.19
Goals Over 2.5 70%
Goals Over 1.5 90%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-34%
edge
No Value
Market implies 84% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -34% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Valmiera
W W L W W W W W D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
RFS 2
W L D L W W L L D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Valmiera1W
Draw0
RFS 20W
Supports Tip Valmiera won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Valmiera wins7/10
RFS 2 wins3/10
Goals per game3.5
H2H avg goals6
Supports Tip Valmiera: 7W 1D 2L from 10 games.
7-1-2
Valmiera form
3-2-5
RFS 2 form
100%
H2H BTTS rate
6
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Valmiera
Overall
7.3
Scoring
8.3
Defence
6.7
RFS 2
Overall
3.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
4.0
Key Analytics
Valmiera
2.5
Goals
scored/game
1
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
RFS 2
1.6
Goals
scored/game
1.8
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 27%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 43%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
Match History
Head to Head
29.03.26
NL
RFS 2
Valmiera
1
5
Recent Results
Valmiera
27.07.26
NL
Valmiera
Riga FC 2
3
0
W
18.07.26
NL
Skanste
Valmiera
0
3
W
12.07.26
LC
Valmiera
Ogre United - L (AET)
2
4
05.07.26
NL
Valmiera
Leevon PPK
4
1
W
28.06.26
NL
JFK Ventspils
Valmiera
0
2
W
22.06.26
LC
FK Smiltene
Valmiera
1
4
W
14.06.26
NL
Tukums 2000 2
Valmiera
1
4
W
30.05.26
LC
Valmiera
Skanste
2
0
W
26.05.26
NL
Super Nova 2
Valmiera
0
0
D
16.05.26
NL
Riga Mariners
Valmiera
3
1
L
RFS 2
25.07.26
NL
FK Smiltene
RFS 2
3
5
W
20.07.26
NL
Tukums 2000 2
RFS 2
2
0
L
05.07.26
NL
RFS 2
Super Nova 2
1
1
D
27.06.26
NL
RFS 2
Riga FC 2
1
3
L
14.06.26
NL
RFS 2
Rezekne
3
0
W
23.05.26
NL
Marupe
RFS 2
1
4
W
16.05.26
NL
RFS 2
Leevon PPK
1
2
L
10.05.26
NL
Skanste
RFS 2
4
0
L
02.05.26
NL
JFK Ventspils
RFS 2
0
0
D
25.04.26
NL
RFS 2
Riga Mariners
1
2
L
Venue Records
Valmiera at Home
27.07.26
NL
Valmiera
Riga FC 2
3
0
W
12.07.26
LC
Valmiera
Ogre United - L (AET)
2
4
05.07.26
NL
Valmiera
Leevon PPK
4
1
W
30.05.26
LC
Valmiera
Skanste
2
0
W
09.05.26
NL
Valmiera
Alberts JDFS
1
1
D
26.04.26
NL
Valmiera
Rezekne
3
1
W
12.04.26
NL
Valmiera
FK Smiltene
4
0
W
31.05.25
LC
Valmiera
Ogre United
4
3
W
16.05.25
LC
Valmiera
FK Cesis
6
0
W
02.05.25
LC
Valmiera
FK Limbazi
8
0
W
RFS 2 Away
25.07.26
NL
FK Smiltene
RFS 2
3
5
W
20.07.26
NL
Tukums 2000 2
RFS 2
2
0
L
23.05.26
NL
Marupe
RFS 2
1
4
W
10.05.26
NL
Skanste
RFS 2
4
0
L
02.05.26
NL
JFK Ventspils
RFS 2
0
0
D
19.04.26
NL
Alberts JDFS
RFS 2
2
0
L
08.11.25
NL
FK Smiltene
RFS 2
1
1
D
01.11.25
NL
Riga Mariners
RFS 2
4
3
L
20.10.25
NL
Tukums 2000 2
RFS 2
2
2
D
04.10.25
NL
Ogre United
RFS 2
0
0
D
Expert Analysis

On Saturday, 1st August 2026, Valmiera host RFS 2 at N/A in Latvia Nakotnes Liga. Our analysis points to Valmiera to win as the standout bet.

Valmiera come into this in strong form, with 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per game.

RFS 2 are struggling away from home — 3W 2D 5L in 10 games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.8 per match.

Historically, Valmiera have won 1 of the last 1 meetings against RFS 2, who have taken 0 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 100% of those games, averaging 6 goals.

With all factors considered, valmiera to win at 1.19 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Right, let us dig into this Latvia Nakotnes Liga fixture properly, because the surface-level version of this match and the actual version of this match are two very different things.

The hosts arrive on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. The headline is one thing; the story underneath is another. We want to know what kind of phase this team is in. Are they peaking, finding their rhythm just as the calendar gets serious? Or did they burn bright early and have quietly been running on fumes since? The recent results at home hold that answer, and N/A has a way of either lifting a confident side or exposing a fragile one.

The away team responds with 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. There is a lag in how the market prices travelling form — a side that has sharpened up on the road over recent weeks can stay underpriced for a while, and a team coasting on an early-season away run can stay overpriced just as long. We try to catch that gap before it closes.

Stack the two profiles against each other and the lean becomes obvious. It is not about who is the bigger name; it is about who is in the better place right now, at this exact point in the season. Our call lands on 1 at @1.19, which we make roughly a 50,30,20% shout. Kick-off is 12:00 pm.

That is the pick and the reasoning behind it, laid bare. Swing through the rest of today’s tips while you are here — there is value scattered across the card if you know where to look.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Valmiera vs RFS 2?
Our top pick is 1 — Valmiera to win at around 1.19. Confidence: 63%.
What is Valmiera's recent form?
Valmiera have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has RFS 2 been performing?
RFS 2: 3W 2D 5L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Valmiera 1 wins vs RFS 2's 0, with 0 draws in 1 meetings. Avg 6 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.5 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 100%.
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