🏆 Brasileiro Women 📅 Saturday, 1st August 2026 ⏰ 7:00 pm 📍 Estadio Joaquim Henrique Nogueira (Jacare) (Sete Lagoas) ⏳ —
CRU
Cruzeiro W
L L W D W
VS
BOT
Botafogo RJ W
L L L W L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Cruzeiro W to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.23
~50% implied
Confidence
43%
Value Play
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Cruzeiro W to win @1.23
Goals Over 2.5 65%
Goals Over 1.5 90%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-31.3%
edge
No Value
Market implies 81.3% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -31.3% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Cruzeiro W
L L W D W W D D L D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
Botafogo RJ W
L L L W L L L L L D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
Cruzeiro W1W
Draw1
Botafogo RJ W0W
Mixed Cruzeiro W won 1 of the last 2 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Cruzeiro W wins3/10
Botafogo RJ W wins1/10
Goals per game2.9
H2H avg goals2.5
Caution Cruzeiro W: 3W 4D 3L from 10 games.
3-4-3
Cruzeiro W form
1-1-8
Botafogo RJ W form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
2.5
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Cruzeiro W
Overall
4.2
Scoring
6.7
Defence
5.7
Botafogo RJ W
Overall
1.3
Scoring
1.7
Defence
3.7
Key Analytics
Cruzeiro W
2
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Botafogo RJ W
0.5
Goals
scored/game
1.9
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 17%
Draw & BTTS No 21%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 30%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 25%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
Match History
Head to Head
12.05.24
BA1
Cruzeiro W
Botafogo RJ
3
0
W
09.05.21
BA1
Cruzeiro W
Botafogo RJ
1
1
W
Recent Results
Cruzeiro W
25.07.26
BA1
Cruzeiro W
Sao Paulo W
1
2
L
21.07.26
COP
Fluminense W
Cruzeiro W
2
1
L
28.05.26
COP
Cruzeiro W
Doce Mel W
5
0
W
24.05.26
BA1
Vitoria W
Cruzeiro W
2
2
D
19.05.26
BA1
Cruzeiro W
Corinthians W
3
2
W
08.05.26
BA1
Cruzeiro W
America Mineiro W
4
0
W
01.05.26
BA1
Juventude W
Cruzeiro W
0
0
D
26.04.26
BA1
Bragantino W
Cruzeiro W
2
2
D
21.04.26
BA1
Cruzeiro W
Internacional W
1
2
L
31.03.26
BA1
Ferroviaria W
Cruzeiro W
1
1
D
Botafogo RJ W
27.07.26
BA1
Bahia W
Botafogo RJ W
2
1
L
22.07.26
COP
Botafogo RJ W
Bragantino W
0
2
L
17.07.26
BA1
Vitoria W
Botafogo RJ W
2
0
L
27.05.26
COP
Botafogo RJ W
Juventude W
3
0
W
24.05.26
BA1
Botafogo RJ W
America Mineiro W
0
3
L
19.05.26
BA1
Palmeiras W
Botafogo RJ W
3
0
L
11.05.26
BA1
Internacional W
Botafogo RJ W
1
0
L
03.05.26
BA1
Botafogo RJ W
Bragantino W
0
3
L
28.04.26
BA1
Atletico-MG W
Botafogo RJ W
2
0
L
04.04.26
BA1
Botafogo RJ W
Santos W
1
1
D
Venue Records
Cruzeiro W at Home
25.07.26
BA1
Cruzeiro W
Sao Paulo W
1
2
L
28.05.26
COP
Cruzeiro W
Doce Mel W
5
0
W
19.05.26
BA1
Cruzeiro W
Corinthians W
3
2
W
08.05.26
BA1
Cruzeiro W
America Mineiro W
4
0
W
21.04.26
BA1
Cruzeiro W
Internacional W
1
2
L
26.03.26
BA1
Cruzeiro W
Fluminense W
3
2
W
14.03.26
BA1
Cruzeiro W
Atletico-MG W
3
1
W
23.02.26
BA1
Cruzeiro W
Santos W
1
1
D
22.11.25
MIN
Cruzeiro W
America Mineiro W
2
2
D
08.11.25
MIN
Cruzeiro W
Itabirito W
2
2
D
Botafogo RJ W Away
27.07.26
BA1
Bahia W
Botafogo RJ W
2
1
L
17.07.26
BA1
Vitoria W
Botafogo RJ W
2
0
L
19.05.26
BA1
Palmeiras W
Botafogo RJ W
3
0
L
11.05.26
BA1
Internacional W
Botafogo RJ W
1
0
L
28.04.26
BA1
Atletico-MG W
Botafogo RJ W
2
0
L
21.03.26
BA1
Mixto W
Botafogo RJ W
2
1
L
08.03.26
CPW
Vasco W
Botafogo RJ W
2
1
L
21.02.26
BA1
Ferroviaria W
Botafogo RJ W
2
1
L
04.02.26
CPW
Fluminense W
Botafogo RJ W
1
0
L
08.11.25
CAR
Fluminense W
Botafogo RJ W
2
1
L
Expert Analysis

On Saturday, 1st August 2026, Cruzeiro W host Botafogo RJ W at Estadio Joaquim Henrique Nogueira (Jacare) (Sete Lagoas) in Brasileiro Women. Our analysis points to Cruzeiro W to win as the standout bet.

Cruzeiro W come into this going through a difficult run, with 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game.

Botafogo RJ W are struggling away from home — 1W 1D 8L in 10 games, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.9 per match.

Historically, Cruzeiro W have won 1 of the last 2 meetings against Botafogo RJ W, who have taken 0 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 2.5 goals.

With all factors considered, cruzeiro w to win at 1.23 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Right, let us dig into this Brasileiro Women fixture properly, because the surface-level version of this match and the actual version of this match are two very different things.

The hosts arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The headline is one thing; the story underneath is another. We want to know what kind of phase this team is in. Are they peaking, finding their rhythm just as the calendar gets serious? Or did they burn bright early and have quietly been running on fumes since? The recent results at home hold that answer, and Estadio Joaquim Henrique Nogueira (Jacare) (Sete Lagoas) has a way of either lifting a confident side or exposing a fragile one.

The away team responds with 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. There is a lag in how the market prices travelling form — a side that has sharpened up on the road over recent weeks can stay underpriced for a while, and a team coasting on an early-season away run can stay overpriced just as long. We try to catch that gap before it closes.

Stack the two profiles against each other and the lean becomes obvious. It is not about who is the bigger name; it is about who is in the better place right now, at this exact point in the season. Our call lands on 1 at @1.23, which we make roughly a 50,30,20% shout. Kick-off is 7:00 pm.

That is the pick and the reasoning behind it, laid bare. Swing through the rest of today’s tips while you are here — there is value scattered across the card if you know where to look.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Cruzeiro W vs Botafogo RJ W?
Our top pick is 1 — Cruzeiro W to win at around 1.23. Confidence: 43%.
What is Cruzeiro W's recent form?
Cruzeiro W have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Botafogo RJ W been performing?
Botafogo RJ W: 1W 1D 8L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Cruzeiro W 1 wins vs Botafogo RJ W's 0, with 1 draws in 2 meetings. Avg 2.5 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.9 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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