🏆 Lebanon Premier League 📅 Tuesday, 28th July 2026 ⏰ 7:30 pm 📍 N/A ⏳ —
NEJ
Nejmeh SC
W D W D W
VS
AL
Al Ahed
D L L D W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Nejmeh SC to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.40
~50% implied
Confidence
59%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Nejmeh SC to win @1.40
Nejmeh SC Clean Sheet Home CS 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-21.4%
edge
No Value
Market implies 71.4% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -21.4% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Nejmeh SC
W D W D W W W W W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 80%
Al Ahed
D L L D W W L W L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Nejmeh SC6W
Draw2
Al Ahed2W
Supports Tip Nejmeh SC won 6 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Nejmeh SC wins7/10
Al Ahed wins3/10
Goals per game2.8
H2H avg goals2.2
Supports Tip Nejmeh SC: 7W 2D 1L from 10 games.
7-2-1
Nejmeh SC form
3-2-5
Al Ahed form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
2.2
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Nejmeh SC
Overall
7.6
Scoring
6.7
Defence
8.7
Al Ahed
Overall
3.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
4.3
Key Analytics
Nejmeh SC
2
Goals
scored/game
0.4
Goals
conceded/game
70%
Clean
sheets
Al Ahed
1.5
Goals
scored/game
1.7
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 26%
Home Win & Under 2.5 32%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
Match History
Head to Head
16.07.26
PL
Al Ahed
Nejmeh SC
0
2
12.06.26
PL
Nejmeh SC
Al Ahed
1
0
01.11.25
PL
Al Ahed
Nejmeh SC
0
4
03.07.25
PL
Nejmeh SC
Al Ahed
4
1
18.05.25
PL
Nejmeh SC
Al Ahed
1
1
19.04.25
PL
Al Ahed
Nejmeh SC
1
0
26.01.25
PL
Nejmeh SC
Al Ahed
1
2
20.06.24
PL
Nejmeh SC
Al Ahed
1
0
12.05.24
PL
Nejmeh SC
Al Ahed
1
0
01.03.24
PL
Nejmeh SC
Al Ahed
1
1
Recent Results
Nejmeh SC
24.07.26
PL
Nejmeh SC
Jwayya
2
1
W
20.07.26
PL
Al Ansar
Nejmeh SC
1
1
D
16.07.26
PL
Al Ahed
Nejmeh SC
0
2
W
12.07.26
PL
Jwayya
Nejmeh SC
0
0
D
08.07.26
CUP
Nejmeh SC
Al Hikma
2
0
W
03.07.26
PL
Al Hikma
Nejmeh SC
0
1
W
29.06.26
PL
Nejmeh SC
Racing
5
0
W
25.06.26
PL
Nejmeh SC
Tadamon
1
0
W
21.06.26
PL
Nejmeh SC
Al-Mabarrah
5
0
W
16.06.26
PL
Jwayya
Nejmeh SC
2
1
L
Al Ahed
24.07.26
PL
Al Ahed
Al Ansar
1
1
D
20.07.26
PL
Jwayya
Al Ahed
2
0
L
16.07.26
PL
Al Ahed
Nejmeh SC
0
2
L
12.07.26
PL
Al Ansar
Al Ahed
3
3
D
28.06.26
PL
Al Ahed
Al Sahel
4
2
W
24.06.26
PL
Al Ahed
Safa
4
1
W
20.06.26
PL
Al Ansar
Al Ahed
3
1
L
16.06.26
PL
Al Ahed
Al Hikma
1
0
W
12.06.26
PL
Nejmeh SC
Al Ahed
1
0
L
18.05.26
PL
Al Ahed
Safa
1
2
L
Venue Records
Nejmeh SC at Home
24.07.26
PL
Nejmeh SC
Jwayya
2
1
W
08.07.26
CUP
Nejmeh SC
Al Hikma
2
0
W
29.06.26
PL
Nejmeh SC
Racing
5
0
W
25.06.26
PL
Nejmeh SC
Tadamon
1
0
W
21.06.26
PL
Nejmeh SC
Al-Mabarrah
5
0
W
12.06.26
PL
Nejmeh SC
Al Ahed
1
0
W
15.05.26
PL
Nejmeh SC
Al Hikma
2
1
W
12.05.26
PL
Nejmeh SC
Jwayya
1
1
D
21.02.26
PL
Nejmeh SC
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
4
0
W
Al Ahed Away
20.07.26
PL
Jwayya
Al Ahed
2
0
L
12.07.26
PL
Al Ansar
Al Ahed
3
3
D
20.06.26
PL
Al Ansar
Al Ahed
3
1
L
12.06.26
PL
Nejmeh SC
Al Ahed
1
0
L
12.05.26
PL
Al Ansar
Al Ahed
1
2
W
15.02.26
PL
Al-Mabarrah
Al Ahed
1
0
L
06.02.26
PL
Jwayya
Al Ahed
0
1
W
01.02.26
PL
Racing
Al Ahed
0
2
W
25.12.25
PL
Bourj FC
Al Ahed
1
4
W
20.12.25
PL
Al Sahel
Al Ahed
2
1
L
Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 28th July 2026, Nejmeh SC host Al Ahed at N/A in Lebanon Premier League. Our analysis points to Nejmeh SC to win as the standout bet.

Nejmeh SC come into this in strong form, with 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game.

Al Ahed are struggling away from home — 3W 2D 5L in 10 games, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.7 per match.

Historically, Nejmeh SC have won 6 of the last 10 meetings against Al Ahed, who have taken 2 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 40% of those games, averaging 2.2 goals.

With all factors considered, nejmeh sc to win at 1.40 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Right, let us dig into this Lebanon Premier League fixture properly, because the surface-level version of this match and the actual version of this match are two very different things.

The hosts arrive on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games. The headline is one thing; the story underneath is another. We want to know what kind of phase this team is in. Are they peaking, finding their rhythm just as the calendar gets serious? Or did they burn bright early and have quietly been running on fumes since? The recent results at home hold that answer, and N/A has a way of either lifting a confident side or exposing a fragile one.

The away team responds with 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. There is a lag in how the market prices travelling form — a side that has sharpened up on the road over recent weeks can stay underpriced for a while, and a team coasting on an early-season away run can stay overpriced just as long. We try to catch that gap before it closes.

Stack the two profiles against each other and the lean becomes obvious. It is not about who is the bigger name; it is about who is in the better place right now, at this exact point in the season. Our call lands on 1 at @1.40, which we make roughly a 50,30,20% shout. Kick-off is 7:30 pm.

That is the pick and the reasoning behind it, laid bare. Swing through the rest of today’s tips while you are here — there is value scattered across the card if you know where to look.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Nejmeh SC vs Al Ahed?
Our top pick is 1 — Nejmeh SC to win at around 1.40. Confidence: 59%.
What is Nejmeh SC's recent form?
Nejmeh SC have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Al Ahed been performing?
Al Ahed: 3W 2D 5L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Nejmeh SC 6 wins vs Al Ahed's 2, with 2 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.
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