🏆 Brazil Catarinense 2 📅 Saturday, 25th July 2026 ⏰ 7:00 pm 📍 N/A ⏳ —
MET
Metropolitano
W W L W W
VS
FLU
Fluminense-SC
W L D W D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Metropolitano to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.42
~50% implied
Confidence
63%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Metropolitano to win @1.42
Goals Over 1.5 80%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-20.4%
edge
No Value
Market implies 70.4% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -20.4% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Metropolitano
W W L W W D L W W W
🔥 Hot 3 in a row
Momentum 60%
Fluminense-SC
W L D W D L W L L L
🥶 Cold 3 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Metropolitano3W
Draw0
Fluminense-SC1W
Supports Tip Metropolitano won 3 of the last 4 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Metropolitano wins7/10
Fluminense-SC wins3/10
Goals per game3.1
H2H avg goals1.8
Supports Tip Metropolitano: 7W 1D 2L from 10 games.
7-1-2
Metropolitano form
3-2-5
Fluminense-SC form
25%
H2H BTTS rate
1.8
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Metropolitano
Overall
7.3
Scoring
7.3
Defence
5.7
Fluminense-SC
Overall
3.6
Scoring
3.3
Defence
4.7
Key Analytics
Metropolitano
2.2
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Fluminense-SC
1
Goals
scored/game
1.6
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 16%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
Match History
Head to Head
11.06.26
CAT2
Fluminense-SC
Metropolitano
1
3
06.07.25
CAT2
Metropolitano
Fluminense-SC
1
0
11.10.18
CSC
Metropolitano
Fluminense-SC
1
0
06.10.18
CSC
Fluminense-SC
Metropolitano
1
0
Recent Results
Metropolitano
22.07.26
CAT2
Gremio Juventus
Metropolitano
0
2
W
18.07.26
CAT2
Metropolitano
Jaragua-SC
6
1
W
15.07.26
CAT2
Blumenau
Metropolitano
4
1
L
12.07.26
CAT2
Tubarao
Metropolitano
2
3
W
05.07.26
CAT2
Metropolitano
Caravaggio
2
1
W
02.07.26
CAT2
Nacao
Metropolitano
0
0
D
21.06.26
CAT2
Hercilio Luz
Metropolitano
3
0
L
14.06.26
CAT2
Metropolitano
Guarani de Palhoca
3
1
W
11.06.26
CAT2
Fluminense-SC
Metropolitano
1
3
W
30.05.26
CAT2
Metropolitano
Gremio Juventus
2
0
W
Fluminense-SC
22.07.26
CAT2
Fluminense-SC
Tubarao
2
1
W
19.07.26
CAT2
Gremio Juventus
Fluminense-SC
3
0
L
15.07.26
CAT2
Fluminense-SC
Guarani de Palhoca
1
1
D
12.07.26
CAT2
Nacao
Fluminense-SC
1
2
W
04.07.26
CAT2
Fluminense-SC
Blumenau
1
1
D
28.06.26
CAT2
Hercilio Luz
Fluminense-SC
4
2
L
21.06.26
CAT2
Fluminense-SC
Jaragua-SC
1
0
W
14.06.26
CAT2
Caravaggio
Fluminense-SC
1
0
L
11.06.26
CAT2
Fluminense-SC
Metropolitano
1
3
L
31.05.26
CAT2
Tubarao
Fluminense-SC
1
0
L
Venue Records
Metropolitano at Home
18.07.26
CAT2
Metropolitano
Jaragua-SC
6
1
W
05.07.26
CAT2
Metropolitano
Caravaggio
2
1
W
14.06.26
CAT2
Metropolitano
Guarani de Palhoca
3
1
W
30.05.26
CAT2
Metropolitano
Gremio Juventus
2
0
W
20.05.26
CAT2
Metropolitano
Blumenau
1
0
W
17.05.26
CAT2
Metropolitano
Tubarao
0
1
L
06.05.26
CAT2
Metropolitano
Nacao
5
2
W
03.05.26
CAT2
Metropolitano
Hercilio Luz
0
0
D
10.08.25
CAT2
Metropolitano
Carlos Renaux
1
1
D
03.08.25
CAT2
Metropolitano
Tubarao
2
0
W
Fluminense-SC Away
19.07.26
CAT2
Gremio Juventus
Fluminense-SC
3
0
L
12.07.26
CAT2
Nacao
Fluminense-SC
1
2
W
28.06.26
CAT2
Hercilio Luz
Fluminense-SC
4
2
L
14.06.26
CAT2
Caravaggio
Fluminense-SC
1
0
L
31.05.26
CAT2
Tubarao
Fluminense-SC
1
0
L
23.05.26
CAT2
Guarani de Palhoca
Fluminense-SC
1
0
L
10.05.26
CAT2
Blumenau
Fluminense-SC
0
1
W
03.05.26
CAT2
Jaragua-SC
Fluminense-SC
1
2
W
27.07.25
CAT2
Porto-SC
Fluminense-SC
0
2
W
06.07.25
CAT2
Metropolitano
Fluminense-SC
1
0
L
Expert Analysis

On Saturday, 25th July 2026, Metropolitano host Fluminense-SC at N/A in Brazil Catarinense 2. Our analysis points to Metropolitano to win as the standout bet.

Metropolitano come into this in strong form, with 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game.

Fluminense-SC are struggling away from home — 3W 2D 5L in 10 games, scoring 1 and conceding 1.6 per match.

Historically, Metropolitano have won 3 of the last 4 meetings against Fluminense-SC, who have taken 1 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 25% of those games, averaging 1.8 goals.

With all factors considered, metropolitano to win at 1.42 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Right, let us dig into this Brazil Catarinense 2 fixture properly, because the surface-level version of this match and the actual version of this match are two very different things.

The hosts arrive on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. The headline is one thing; the story underneath is another. We want to know what kind of phase this team is in. Are they peaking, finding their rhythm just as the calendar gets serious? Or did they burn bright early and have quietly been running on fumes since? The recent results at home hold that answer, and N/A has a way of either lifting a confident side or exposing a fragile one.

The away team responds with 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. There is a lag in how the market prices travelling form — a side that has sharpened up on the road over recent weeks can stay underpriced for a while, and a team coasting on an early-season away run can stay overpriced just as long. We try to catch that gap before it closes.

Stack the two profiles against each other and the lean becomes obvious. It is not about who is the bigger name; it is about who is in the better place right now, at this exact point in the season. Our call lands on 1 at @1.42, which we make roughly a 50,30,20% shout. Kick-off is 7:00 pm.

That is the pick and the reasoning behind it, laid bare. Swing through the rest of today’s tips while you are here — there is value scattered across the card if you know where to look.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC?
Our top pick is 1 — Metropolitano to win at around 1.42. Confidence: 63%.
What is Metropolitano's recent form?
Metropolitano have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Fluminense-SC been performing?
Fluminense-SC: 3W 2D 5L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Metropolitano 3 wins vs Fluminense-SC's 1, with 0 draws in 4 meetings. Avg 1.8 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.1 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 25%.
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