🏆 Australia NPL Victoria 📅 Friday, 24th July 2026 ⏰ 11:30 am 📍 Genis Steel Stadium (Melbourne) ⏳ —
PRE
Preston Lions
W D W W W
VS
BEN
Bentleigh Greens
W L L L L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Preston Lions to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.34
~50% implied
Confidence
53%
Solid Pick
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Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-24.6%
edge
No Value
Market implies 74.6% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -24.6% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Preston Lions
W D W W W W W L L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Bentleigh Greens
W L L L L L L D D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
Preston Lions2W
Draw2
Bentleigh Greens1W
Against Preston Lions won 2 of the last 5 meetings (2 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Preston Lions wins7/10
Bentleigh Greens wins1/10
Goals per game2.9
H2H avg goals3.4
Supports Tip Preston Lions: 7W 1D 2L from 10 games.
7-1-2
Preston Lions form
1-2-7
Bentleigh Greens form
80%
H2H BTTS rate
3.4
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Preston Lions
Overall
7.3
Scoring
4.3
Defence
7.7
Bentleigh Greens
Overall
1.6
Scoring
2.3
Defence
0.0
Key Analytics
Preston Lions
1.3
Goals
scored/game
0.7
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Bentleigh Greens
0.7
Goals
scored/game
3
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 44%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 41%
Home Win & Under 2.5 33%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 6%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
Match History
Head to Head
17.04.26
VIC
Bentleigh Greens
Preston Lions
1
1
21.06.24
VPL
Preston Lions
Bentleigh Greens
2
1
15.03.24
VPL
Bentleigh Greens
Preston Lions
3
2
10.07.05
VIC
Preston Lions
Bentleigh Greens
5
2
03.04.05
VIC
Bentleigh Greens
Preston Lions
0
0
Recent Results
Preston Lions
21.07.26
CUP
Preston Lions
Newcastle Jets
3
2
W
18.07.26
VIC
South Melbourne
Preston Lions
0
0
D
10.07.26
VIC
Preston Lions
Hume City
2
1
W
04.07.26
VIC
Avondale FC
Preston Lions
2
3
W
27.06.26
VIC
George Cross
Preston Lions
0
2
W
20.06.26
VIC
Heidelberg Utd
Preston Lions
0
1
W
31.05.26
VIC
St Albans
Preston Lions
0
1
W
24.05.26
VIC
Preston Lions
Oakleigh Cannons
0
1
L
16.05.26
VIC
Altona Magic
Preston Lions
1
0
L
08.05.26
VIC
Preston Lions
Dandenong City
1
0
W
Bentleigh Greens
17.07.26
VIC
Bentleigh Greens
Dandenong City
2
1
W
11.07.26
VIC
Dandenong Thunder
Bentleigh Greens
2
1
L
03.07.26
VIC
Green Gully
Bentleigh Greens
3
0
L
26.06.26
VIC
Bentleigh Greens
Altona Magic
0
1
L
19.06.26
VIC
Bentleigh Greens
South Melbourne
1
5
L
05.06.26
VIC
Bentleigh Greens
Hume City
1
5
L
30.05.26
VIC
Avondale FC
Bentleigh Greens
4
0
L
22.05.26
VIC
Bentleigh Greens
George Cross
0
0
D
15.05.26
VIC
Bentleigh Greens
Heidelberg Utd
2
2
D
08.05.26
VIC
Bentleigh Greens
Melbourne City U21
0
7
L
Venue Records
Preston Lions at Home
21.07.26
CUP
Preston Lions
Newcastle Jets
3
2
W
10.07.26
VIC
Preston Lions
Hume City
2
1
W
24.05.26
VIC
Preston Lions
Oakleigh Cannons
0
1
L
08.05.26
VIC
Preston Lions
Dandenong City
1
0
W
11.04.26
VIC
Preston Lions
South Melbourne
0
3
L
20.03.26
VIC
Preston Lions
Avondale FC
2
1
W
13.03.26
VIC
Preston Lions
George Cross
1
1
D
08.03.26
VIC
Preston Lions
Heidelberg Utd
0
1
L
20.02.26
VIC
Preston Lions
St Albans
3
0
W
09.11.25
ACH
Preston Lions
Canberra Croatia
0
0
D
Bentleigh Greens Away
11.07.26
VIC
Dandenong Thunder
Bentleigh Greens
2
1
L
03.07.26
VIC
Green Gully
Bentleigh Greens
3
0
L
30.05.26
VIC
Avondale FC
Bentleigh Greens
4
0
L
24.04.26
VIC
Oakleigh Cannons
Bentleigh Greens
4
0
L
11.04.26
VIC
Dandenong City
Bentleigh Greens
3
0
L
14.03.26
VIC
Altona Magic
Bentleigh Greens
0
2
W
07.03.26
VIC
South Melbourne
Bentleigh Greens
1
0
L
28.02.26
VIC
Hume City
Bentleigh Greens
1
0
L
14.02.26
VIC
George Cross
Bentleigh Greens
0
0
D
16.08.25
VPL
North Sunshine Eagles
Bentleigh Greens
1
2
W
Expert Analysis

On Friday, 24th July 2026, Preston Lions host Bentleigh Greens at Genis Steel Stadium (Melbourne) in Australia NPL Victoria. Our analysis points to Preston Lions to win as the standout bet.

Preston Lions come into this in strong form, with 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game.

Bentleigh Greens are struggling away from home — 1W 2D 7L in 10 games, scoring 0.7 and conceding 3 per match.

Historically, Preston Lions have won 2 of the last 5 meetings against Bentleigh Greens, who have taken 1 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 80% of those games, averaging 3.4 goals.

With all factors considered, preston lions to win at 1.34 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Right, let us dig into this Australia NPL Victoria fixture properly, because the surface-level version of this match and the actual version of this match are two very different things.

The hosts arrive on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. The headline is one thing; the story underneath is another. We want to know what kind of phase this team is in. Are they peaking, finding their rhythm just as the calendar gets serious? Or did they burn bright early and have quietly been running on fumes since? The recent results at home hold that answer, and Genis Steel Stadium (Melbourne) has a way of either lifting a confident side or exposing a fragile one.

The away team responds with 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. There is a lag in how the market prices travelling form — a side that has sharpened up on the road over recent weeks can stay underpriced for a while, and a team coasting on an early-season away run can stay overpriced just as long. We try to catch that gap before it closes.

Stack the two profiles against each other and the lean becomes obvious. It is not about who is the bigger name; it is about who is in the better place right now, at this exact point in the season. Our call lands on 1 at @1.34, which we make roughly a 50,30,20% shout. Kick-off is 11:30 am.

That is the pick and the reasoning behind it, laid bare. Swing through the rest of today’s tips while you are here — there is value scattered across the card if you know where to look.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Preston Lions vs Bentleigh Greens?
Our top pick is 1 — Preston Lions to win at around 1.34. Confidence: 53%.
What is Preston Lions's recent form?
Preston Lions have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Bentleigh Greens been performing?
Bentleigh Greens: 1W 2D 7L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Preston Lions 2 wins vs Bentleigh Greens's 1, with 2 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 3.4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.9 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 80%.
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