🏆 Iceland Besta deild karla 📅 Friday, 24th July 2026 ⏰ 9:00 pm 📍 Víkingsvöllur (Reykjavík) ⏳ —
VIK
Vikingur Reykjavik
W L D W W
VS
KEF
Keflavik
W L D W D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Vikingur Reykjavik to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.23
~60% implied
Confidence
65%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Vikingur Reykjavik to win @1.23
Goals Over 2.5 70%
Goals Over 1.5 90%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — Yes 75%
H2H Over 2.5 78%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-21.3%
edge
No Value
Market implies 81.3% probability. Our estimate is 60%, a -21.3% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Vikingur Reykjavik
W L D W W L W W L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Keflavik
W L D W D L L W D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Vikingur Reykjavik7W
Draw1
Keflavik1W
Supports Tip Vikingur Reykjavik won 7 of the last 9 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Vikingur Reykjavik wins6/10
Keflavik wins4/10
Goals per game3.5
H2H avg goals3.9
Supports Tip Vikingur Reykjavik: 6W 1D 3L from 10 games.
6-1-3
Vikingur Reykjavik form
4-3-3
Keflavik form
67%
H2H BTTS rate
3.9
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Vikingur Reykjavik
Overall
6.3
Scoring
6.7
Defence
5.3
Keflavik
Overall
4.9
Scoring
6.0
Defence
4.0
Key Analytics
Vikingur Reykjavik
2
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Keflavik
1.8
Goals
scored/game
1.8
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 38%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
Match History
Head to Head
03.05.26
BK
Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
3
08.07.23
BK
Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
3
3
04.05.23
BK
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik
4
1
11.09.22
BK
Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
3
28.04.22
BK
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik
4
1
19.07.21
BK
Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
2
02.05.21
BK
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik
1
0
23.02.20
CUP
Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
2
09.03.19
CUP
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik
2
4
Recent Results
Vikingur Reykjavik
21.07.26
CL
Vikingur Reykjavik
H. Beer Sheva
2
1
W
18.07.26
BK
Thor Akureyri
Vikingur Reykjavik
2
1
L
14.07.26
CL
Gyor
Vikingur Reykjavik
2
2
D
07.07.26
CL
Vikingur Reykjavik
Gyor
1
0
W
02.07.26
BK
Vikingur Reykjavik
KA Akureyri
3
2
W
28.06.26
CUP
Breidablik
Vikingur Reykjavik
3
0
L
25.06.26
BK
Breidablik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
4
W
21.06.26
BK
Fram
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
5
W
16.06.26
BK
Vikingur Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
2
0
W
12.06.26
CUP
Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
2
W
Keflavik
20.07.26
BK
Keflavik
Akranes
5
2
W
13.07.26
BK
Breidablik
Keflavik
2
1
L
06.07.26
BK
Keflavik
Fram
1
1
D
28.06.26
BK
Keflavik
KR Reykjavik
3
2
W
21.06.26
BK
Valur
Keflavik
1
1
D
14.06.26
BK
Keflavik
Hafnarfjordur
1
2
L
31.05.26
BK
Vestmannaeyjar
Keflavik
6
1
L
22.05.26
BK
Keflavik
Thor Akureyri
1
0
W
17.05.26
BK
Keflavik
Stjarnan
1
1
D
08.05.26
BK
Akranes
Keflavik
1
3
W
Venue Records
Vikingur Reykjavik at Home
21.07.26
CL
Vikingur Reykjavik
H. Beer Sheva
2
1
W
07.07.26
CL
Vikingur Reykjavik
Gyor
1
0
W
02.07.26
BK
Vikingur Reykjavik
KA Akureyri
3
2
W
16.06.26
BK
Vikingur Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
2
0
W
22.05.26
BK
Vikingur Reykjavik
Hafnarfjordur
5
0
W
08.05.26
BK
Vikingur Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri
6
0
W
27.04.26
BK
Vikingur Reykjavik
Akranes
4
0
W
23.04.26
BK
Vikingur Reykjavik
Stjarnan
3
2
W
10.04.26
BK
Vikingur Reykjavik
Breidablik
1
1
D
29.03.26
SC
Vikingur Reykjavik
Vestri
4
0
W
Keflavik Away
13.07.26
BK
Breidablik
Keflavik
2
1
L
21.06.26
BK
Valur
Keflavik
1
1
D
31.05.26
BK
Vestmannaeyjar
Keflavik
6
1
L
08.05.26
BK
Akranes
Keflavik
1
3
W
26.04.26
BK
KA Akureyri
Keflavik
1
2
W
17.04.26
BK
Fram
Keflavik
3
1
L
12.04.26
BK
KR Reykjavik
Keflavik
3
2
L
14.02.26
CUP
Vestri
Keflavik
2
3
W
30.01.26
CUP
Stjarnan
Keflavik
2
1
L
Expert Analysis

On Friday, 24th July 2026, Vikingur Reykjavik host Keflavik at Víkingsvöllur (Reykjavík) in Iceland Besta deild karla. Our analysis points to Vikingur Reykjavik to win as the standout bet.

Vikingur Reykjavik come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.

Keflavik are inconsistent on the road — 4W 3D 3L in 10 games, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.8 per match.

Historically, Vikingur Reykjavik have won 7 of the last 9 meetings against Keflavik, who have taken 1 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 67% of those games, averaging 3.9 goals.

With all factors considered, vikingur reykjavik to win at 1.23 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Right, let us dig into this Iceland Besta deild karla fixture properly, because the surface-level version of this match and the actual version of this match are two very different things.

The hosts arrive on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. The headline is one thing; the story underneath is another. We want to know what kind of phase this team is in. Are they peaking, finding their rhythm just as the calendar gets serious? Or did they burn bright early and have quietly been running on fumes since? The recent results at home hold that answer, and Víkingsvöllur (Reykjavík) has a way of either lifting a confident side or exposing a fragile one.

The away team responds with 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. There is a lag in how the market prices travelling form — a side that has sharpened up on the road over recent weeks can stay underpriced for a while, and a team coasting on an early-season away run can stay overpriced just as long. We try to catch that gap before it closes.

Stack the two profiles against each other and the lean becomes obvious. It is not about who is the bigger name; it is about who is in the better place right now, at this exact point in the season. Our call lands on 1 at @1.23, which we make roughly a 60,20,20% shout. Kick-off is 9:00 pm.

That is the pick and the reasoning behind it, laid bare. Swing through the rest of today’s tips while you are here — there is value scattered across the card if you know where to look.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik?
Our top pick is 1 — Vikingur Reykjavik to win at around 1.23. Confidence: 65%.
What is Vikingur Reykjavik's recent form?
Vikingur Reykjavik have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Keflavik been performing?
Keflavik: 4W 3D 3L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Vikingur Reykjavik 7 wins vs Keflavik's 1, with 1 draws in 9 meetings. Avg 3.9 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.5 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 67%.
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