🏆 Brazil Serie B 📅 Wednesday, 22nd July 2026 ⏰ 11:30 pm 📍 Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa) ⏳ —
OPE
Operario-PR
D W W W W
VS
PON
Ponte Preta
L L L L L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Operario-PR to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.35
~50% implied
Confidence
50%
Solid Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Operario-PR to win @1.35
Goals Over 2.5 65%
Goals Over 1.5 85%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-24.1%
edge
No Value
Market implies 74.1% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -24.1% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Operario-PR
D W W W W L W W D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
Ponte Preta
L L L L L L L D L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
Operario-PR4W
Draw3
Ponte Preta3W
Against Operario-PR won 4 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Operario-PR wins6/10
Ponte Preta wins0/10
Goals per game3
H2H avg goals1.8
Supports Tip Operario-PR: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games.
6-2-2
Operario-PR form
0-1-9
Ponte Preta form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
1.8
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Operario-PR
Overall
6.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
5.3
Ponte Preta
Overall
0.3
Scoring
2.0
Defence
2.3
Key Analytics
Operario-PR
1.7
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Ponte Preta
0.6
Goals
scored/game
2.3
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 48%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 52%
Home Win & Under 2.5 28%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
Match History
Head to Head
24.08.24
SB
Ponte Preta
Operario-PR
0
1
11.05.24
SB
Operario-PR
Ponte Preta
1
1
30.07.22
SB
Ponte Preta
Operario-PR
3
0
16.04.22
SB
Operario-PR
Ponte Preta
2
0
23.09.21
SB
Operario-PR
Ponte Preta
1
2
22.06.21
SB
Ponte Preta
Operario-PR
0
0
15.12.20
SB
Operario-PR
Ponte Preta
1
0
19.09.20
SB
Ponte Preta
Operario-PR
1
1
17.09.19
SB
Operario-PR
Ponte Preta
2
1
18.05.19
SB
Ponte Preta
Operario-PR
1
0
Recent Results
Operario-PR
18.07.26
SB
Sport Recife
Operario-PR
2
2
D
12.07.26
SB
Operario-PR
Novorizontino
2
1
W
08.07.26
SB
Athletic Club
Operario-PR
0
1
W
27.06.26
SB
Operario-PR
America MG
1
0
W
21.06.26
SB
Goias
Operario-PR
0
3
W
14.06.26
SB
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
2
1
L
06.06.26
SB
Operario-PR
Juventude
2
1
W
31.05.26
SB
Ceara
Operario-PR
1
2
W
25.05.26
SB
Operario-PR
Criciuma
1
1
D
16.05.26
SB
Operario-PR
Nautico
2
6
L
Ponte Preta
18.07.26
SB
Ponte Preta
Goias
1
2
L
09.07.26
SB
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
1
2
L
03.07.26
SB
Fortaleza
Ponte Preta
2
0
L
28.06.26
SB
Atletico GO
Ponte Preta
2
0
L
23.06.26
SB
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
0
2
L
14.06.26
SB
Juventude
Ponte Preta
3
0
L
09.06.26
SB
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
1
2
L
01.06.26
SB
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
24.05.26
SB
CRB
Ponte Preta
4
2
L
18.05.26
SB
Ponte Preta
Londrina
1
4
L
Venue Records
Operario-PR at Home
12.07.26
SB
Operario-PR
Novorizontino
2
1
W
27.06.26
SB
Operario-PR
America MG
1
0
W
06.06.26
SB
Operario-PR
Juventude
2
1
W
25.05.26
SB
Operario-PR
Criciuma
1
1
D
16.05.26
SB
Operario-PR
Nautico
2
6
L
07.05.26
CSS
Operario-PR
Chapecoense-SC
1
2
L
03.05.26
SB
Operario-PR
Londrina
3
0
W
26.04.26
SB
Operario-PR
Fortaleza
0
0
D
24.04.26
COP
Operario-PR
Fluminense
0
0
D
15.04.26
CSS
Operario-PR
Novorizontino
1
1
D
Ponte Preta Away
03.07.26
SB
Fortaleza
Ponte Preta
2
0
L
28.06.26
SB
Atletico GO
Ponte Preta
2
0
L
14.06.26
SB
Juventude
Ponte Preta
3
0
L
24.05.26
SB
CRB
Ponte Preta
4
2
L
03.05.26
SB
Sao Bernardo
Ponte Preta
3
0
L
19.04.26
SB
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
2
W
04.04.26
SB
Nautico
Ponte Preta
1
0
L
22.03.26
SB
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
2
1
L
19.03.26
COP
Atletico GO
Ponte Preta
1
0
L
07.02.26
PAU
Portuguesa
Ponte Preta
2
0
L
Expert Analysis

On Wednesday, 22nd July 2026, Operario-PR host Ponte Preta at Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa) in Brazil Serie B. Our analysis points to Operario-PR to win as the standout bet.

Operario-PR come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.

Ponte Preta are struggling away from home — 0W 1D 9L in 10 games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 2.3 per match.

Historically, Operario-PR have won 4 of the last 10 meetings against Ponte Preta, who have taken 3 victories, with 3 draws. Both teams scored in 40% of those games, averaging 1.8 goals.

With all factors considered, operario-pr to win at 1.35 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Right, let us dig into this Brazil Serie B fixture properly, because the surface-level version of this match and the actual version of this match are two very different things.

The hosts arrive on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. The headline is one thing; the story underneath is another. We want to know what kind of phase this team is in. Are they peaking, finding their rhythm just as the calendar gets serious? Or did they burn bright early and have quietly been running on fumes since? The recent results at home hold that answer, and Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa) has a way of either lifting a confident side or exposing a fragile one.

The away team responds with 5 losses from their last 5 games. There is a lag in how the market prices travelling form — a side that has sharpened up on the road over recent weeks can stay underpriced for a while, and a team coasting on an early-season away run can stay overpriced just as long. We try to catch that gap before it closes.

Stack the two profiles against each other and the lean becomes obvious. It is not about who is the bigger name; it is about who is in the better place right now, at this exact point in the season. Our call lands on 1 at @1.35, which we make roughly a 50,30,20% shout. Kick-off is 11:30 pm.

That is the pick and the reasoning behind it, laid bare. Swing through the rest of today’s tips while you are here — there is value scattered across the card if you know where to look.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta?
Our top pick is 1 — Operario-PR to win at around 1.35. Confidence: 50%.
What is Operario-PR's recent form?
Operario-PR have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Ponte Preta been performing?
Ponte Preta: 0W 1D 9L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Operario-PR 4 wins vs Ponte Preta's 3, with 3 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 1.8 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.
⚠️ 18+ Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly. BeGambleAware.org