🏆 Lithuania 1 Lyga 📅 Saturday, 18th July 2026 ⏰ 4:00 pm 📍 N/A ⏳ —
FK
FK Minija
W W W W D
VS
JON
Jonava
L W D D L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing FK Minija to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.23
~50% implied
Confidence
51%
Solid Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-31.3%
edge
No Value
Market implies 81.3% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -31.3% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
FK Minija
W W W W D L W W W W
🔥 Hot 4 in a row
Momentum 80%
Jonava
L W D D L D L L L L
🥶 Cold 4 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
FK Minija2W
Draw2
Jonava6W
Against FK Minija won 2 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📈 Recent Form
FK Minija wins8/10
Jonava wins1/10
Goals per game2.3
H2H avg goals2.8
Supports Tip FK Minija: 8W 1D 1L from 10 games.
8-1-1
FK Minija form
1-3-6
Jonava form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
2.8
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
FK Minija
Overall
8.3
Scoring
6.3
Defence
8.0
Jonava
Overall
1.9
Scoring
1.7
Defence
4.7
Key Analytics
FK Minija
1.9
Goals
scored/game
0.6
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Jonava
0.5
Goals
scored/game
1.6
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Home Win & BTTS No 40%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Away Win & BTTS No 5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 37%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
Match History
Head to Head
07.06.26
IL
Jonava
FK Minija
0
0
18.10.25
IL
FK Minija
Jonava
0
1
13.06.25
IL
Jonava
FK Minija
0
0
19.08.23
IL
Jonava
FK Minija
1
2
01.04.23
IL
FK Minija
Jonava
3
0
24.09.21
IL
Jonava
FK Minija
8
0
12.06.21
IL
FK Minija
Jonava
1
2
06.06.20
IL
FK Minija
Jonava
1
2
31.08.19
IL
Jonava
FK Minija
4
1
11.05.19
IL
FK Minija
Jonava
0
2
Recent Results
FK Minija
26.06.26
IL
Garliava
FK Minija
0
1
W
23.06.26
CUP
FK Minija
FK Panevezys
2
1
W
20.06.26
IL
Atmosfera
FK Minija
0
1
W
13.06.26
IL
FK Minija
BFA Vilnius
3
0
W
07.06.26
IL
Jonava
FK Minija
0
0
D
29.05.26
IL
Babrungas
FK Minija
1
0
L
23.05.26
IL
FK Minija
Tauras Taurage
2
1
W
19.05.26
CUP
Pempininkai
FK Minija (AET)
1
4
W
16.05.26
IL
Neptunas
FK Minija
1
3
W
09.05.26
IL
FK Minija
Dainava Alytus
3
1
W
Jonava
27.06.26
IL
Hegelmann Litauen 2
Jonava
2
1
L
21.06.26
IL
Zalgiris 2
Jonava
1
2
W
12.06.26
IL
Jonava
Atmosfera
1
1
D
07.06.26
IL
Jonava
FK Minija
0
0
D
30.05.26
IL
BFA Vilnius
Jonava
1
0
L
22.05.26
IL
Jonava
Babrungas
1
1
D
16.05.26
IL
Tauras Taurage
Jonava
2
0
L
08.05.26
IL
Jonava
Neptunas
0
1
L
02.05.26
IL
Dainava Alytus
Jonava
3
0
L
29.04.26
CUP
Jonava
FA Siauliai
0
4
L
Venue Records
FK Minija at Home
23.06.26
CUP
FK Minija
FK Panevezys
2
1
W
13.06.26
IL
FK Minija
BFA Vilnius
3
0
W
23.05.26
IL
FK Minija
Tauras Taurage
2
1
W
09.05.26
IL
FK Minija
Dainava Alytus
3
1
W
25.04.26
IL
FK Minija
Siauliai 2
3
1
W
04.04.26
IL
FK Minija
Ekranas
2
1
W
18.03.26
IL
FK Minija
Hegelmann Litauen 2
3
0
W
14.03.26
IL
FK Minija
Zalgiris 2
4
0
W
09.11.25
IL
FK Minija
BE1 NFA
0
3
L
Jonava Away
27.06.26
IL
Hegelmann Litauen 2
Jonava
2
1
L
21.06.26
IL
Zalgiris 2
Jonava
1
2
W
30.05.26
IL
BFA Vilnius
Jonava
1
0
L
16.05.26
IL
Tauras Taurage
Jonava
2
0
L
02.05.26
IL
Dainava Alytus
Jonava
3
0
L
19.04.26
IL
Siauliai 2
Jonava
2
2
D
21.03.26
IL
Ekranas
Jonava
1
2
W
14.03.26
IL
Garliava
Jonava
2
0
L
31.10.25
IL
Zalgiris 2
Jonava
0
0
D
18.10.25
IL
FK Minija
Jonava
0
1
W
Expert Analysis

On Saturday, 18th July 2026, FK Minija host Jonava at N/A in Lithuania 1 Lyga. Our analysis points to FK Minija to win as the standout bet.

FK Minija come into this in strong form, with 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.9 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game.

Jonava are struggling away from home — 1W 3D 6L in 10 games, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.6 per match.

Historically, FK Minija have won 2 of the last 10 meetings against Jonava, who have taken 6 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 40% of those games, averaging 2.8 goals.

With all factors considered, fk minija to win at 1.23 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Right, let us dig into this Lithuania 1 Lyga fixture properly, because the surface-level version of this match and the actual version of this match are two very different things.

The hosts arrive on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. The headline is one thing; the story underneath is another. We want to know what kind of phase this team is in. Are they peaking, finding their rhythm just as the calendar gets serious? Or did they burn bright early and have quietly been running on fumes since? The recent results at home hold that answer, and N/A has a way of either lifting a confident side or exposing a fragile one.

The away team responds with 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. There is a lag in how the market prices travelling form — a side that has sharpened up on the road over recent weeks can stay underpriced for a while, and a team coasting on an early-season away run can stay overpriced just as long. We try to catch that gap before it closes.

Stack the two profiles against each other and the lean becomes obvious. It is not about who is the bigger name; it is about who is in the better place right now, at this exact point in the season. Our call lands on 1 at @1.23, which we make roughly a 50,30,20% shout. Kick-off is 4:00 pm.

That is the pick and the reasoning behind it, laid bare. Swing through the rest of today’s tips while you are here — there is value scattered across the card if you know where to look.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for FK Minija vs Jonava?
Our top pick is 1 — FK Minija to win at around 1.23. Confidence: 51%.
What is FK Minija's recent form?
FK Minija have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Jonava been performing?
Jonava: 1W 3D 6L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
FK Minija 2 wins vs Jonava's 6, with 2 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.8 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.3 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.
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