🏆 UCL Qualifiers 📅 Tuesday, 14th July 2026 ⏰ 6:30 pm 📍 Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov (Sofia) ⏳ —
LEV
Levski Sofia
D W D W W
VS
BOR
Borac Banja Luka
D L D W W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Levski Sofia to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.36
~50% implied
Confidence
37%
Value Play
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Levski Sofia to win @1.36
Goals Under 2.5 75%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 70%
Borac Banja Luka Clean Sheet Away CS 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-23.5%
edge
No Value
Market implies 73.5% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -23.5% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Levski Sofia
D W D W W D L D L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 0%
Borac Banja Luka
D L D W W W D W W W
🔥 Hot 3 in a row
Momentum 80%
⚔ Head to Head
Levski Sofia0W
Draw1
Borac Banja Luka0W
Against Levski Sofia won 0 of the last 1 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Levski Sofia wins3/10
Borac Banja Luka wins6/10
Goals per game2.4
H2H avg goals2
Caution Levski Sofia: 3W 4D 3L from 10 games.
3-4-3
Levski Sofia form
6-3-1
Borac Banja Luka form
100%
H2H BTTS rate
2
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Levski Sofia
Overall
4.2
Scoring
6.0
Defence
7.7
Borac Banja Luka
Overall
6.9
Scoring
5.7
Defence
8.3
Key Analytics
Levski Sofia
1.8
Goals
scored/game
0.7
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Borac Banja Luka
1.7
Goals
scored/game
0.5
Goals
conceded/game
70%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 20%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 34%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 6%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 21%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 36%
Match History
Head to Head
07.07.26
CL
Borac Banja Luka
Levski Sofia
1
1
Recent Results
Levski Sofia
07.07.26
CL
Borac Banja Luka
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
30.06.26
CF
Levski Sofia
Radnik
5
0
W
27.06.26
CF
Levski Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
1
D
23.06.26
CF
Levski Sofia
Etar
6
0
W
19.06.26
CF
Levski Sofia
Akademik Svishtov
4
0
W
25.05.26
1L
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Levski Sofia
0
0
D
16.05.26
1L
Levski Sofia
CSKA Sofia
2
0
W
13.05.26
1L
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
09.05.26
1L
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
L
02.05.26
1L
Levski Sofia
CSKA 1948 Sofia
1
0
W
Borac Banja Luka
07.07.26
CL
Borac Banja Luka
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
29.06.26
CF
Akhmat Grozny
Borac Banja Luka
3
1
L
26.06.26
CF
Borac Banja Luka
IMT Novi Beograd
1
1
D
23.06.26
CF
Borac Banja Luka
Sutjeska
1
0
W
20.06.26
CF
Jedinstvo
Borac Banja Luka
0
8
W
26.05.26
LIG
Borac Banja Luka
Posusje
2
0
W
22.05.26
LIG
Radnik Bijeljina
Borac Banja Luka
0
0
D
16.05.26
LIG
Borac Banja Luka
Zeljeznicar
1
0
W
10.05.26
LIG
Siroki Brijeg
Borac Banja Luka
0
1
W
03.05.26
LIG
FK Sarajevo
Borac Banja Luka
0
1
W
Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 14th July 2026, Levski Sofia host Borac Banja Luka at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov (Sofia) in UCL Qualifiers. Our analysis points to Levski Sofia to win as the standout bet.

Levski Sofia come into this going through a difficult run, with 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.8 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game.

Borac Banja Luka are inconsistent on the road — 6W 3D 1L in 10 games, scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.5 per match.

Historically, Levski Sofia have won 0 of the last 1 meetings against Borac Banja Luka, who have taken 0 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 100% of those games, averaging 2 goals.

With all factors considered, levski sofia to win at 1.36 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Right, let us dig into this UCL Qualifiers fixture properly, because the surface-level version of this match and the actual version of this match are two very different things.

The hosts arrive on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games. The headline is one thing; the story underneath is another. We want to know what kind of phase this team is in. Are they peaking, finding their rhythm just as the calendar gets serious? Or did they burn bright early and have quietly been running on fumes since? The recent results at home hold that answer, and Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov (Sofia) has a way of either lifting a confident side or exposing a fragile one.

The away team responds with 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. There is a lag in how the market prices travelling form — a side that has sharpened up on the road over recent weeks can stay underpriced for a while, and a team coasting on an early-season away run can stay overpriced just as long. We try to catch that gap before it closes.

Stack the two profiles against each other and the lean becomes obvious. It is not about who is the bigger name; it is about who is in the better place right now, at this exact point in the season. Our call lands on 1 at @1.36, which we make roughly a 80% shout. Kick-off is 6:30 pm.

That is the pick and the reasoning behind it, laid bare. Swing through the rest of today’s tips while you are here — there is value scattered across the card if you know where to look.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Levski Sofia vs Borac Banja Luka?
Our top pick is 1 — Levski Sofia to win at around 1.36. Confidence: 37%.
What is Levski Sofia's recent form?
Levski Sofia have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Borac Banja Luka been performing?
Borac Banja Luka: 6W 3D 1L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
Levski Sofia 0 wins vs Borac Banja Luka's 0, with 1 draws in 1 meetings. Avg 2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.4 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 100%.
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