🏆 China League One 📅 Saturday, 11th July 2026 ⏰ 12:30 pm 📍 Huangpu Sports Center (Guangzhou) ⏳ —
GUA
Guangdong GZ-Power
D W L W D
VS
SHI
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
L W L D D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Guangdong GZ-Power to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.30
~50% implied
Confidence
60%
Solid Pick
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Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-26.9%
edge
No Value
Market implies 76.9% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -26.9% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Guangdong GZ-Power
D W L W D L W D W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 60%
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
L W L D D L D L L D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
Guangdong GZ-Power2W
Draw0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0W
Supports Tip Guangdong GZ-Power won 2 of the last 2 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Guangdong GZ-Power wins5/10
Shijiazhuang Gongfu wins1/10
Goals per game2.4
H2H avg goals2.5
Mixed Guangdong GZ-Power: 5W 3D 2L from 10 games.
5-3-2
Guangdong GZ-Power form
1-4-5
Shijiazhuang Gongfu form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
2.5
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Guangdong GZ-Power
Overall
5.9
Scoring
6.0
Defence
5.7
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Overall
2.2
Scoring
1.3
Defence
6.0
Key Analytics
Guangdong GZ-Power
1.8
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
0.4
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 20%
Draw & BTTS No 17%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 27%
Draw & Over 2.5 19%
Draw & Under 2.5 19%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
Match History
Head to Head
13.09.25
L1
Guangdong GZ-Power
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
2
0
04.05.25
L1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Guangdong GZ-Power
1
2
Recent Results
Guangdong GZ-Power
04.07.26
L1
Suzhou Dongwu
Guangdong GZ-Power
2
2
D
27.06.26
L1
Guangdong GZ-Power
Shaanxi Union
2
1
W
19.06.26
FAC
Guangdong GZ-Power
Beijing Guoan
1
2
L
13.06.26
L1
Dingnan Ganlian
Guangdong GZ-Power
1
3
W
29.05.26
L1
Guangdong GZ-Power
Shenzhen Juniors
0
0
D
24.05.26
L1
Guangdong GZ-Power
Yanbian Longding
3
4
L
17.05.26
FAC
Wuhan Lianzhen
Guangdong GZ-Power
0
1
W
10.05.26
L1
Dalian K’un City
Guangdong GZ-Power
1
1
D
02.05.26
L1
Guangdong GZ-Power
Nantong Zhiyun
3
1
W
26.04.26
L1
Changchun Yatai
Guangdong GZ-Power
1
2
W
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
04.07.26
L1
Ningbo Professional
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
2
1
L
27.06.26
L1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Nanjing City
2
1
W
20.06.26
FAC
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Shanghai Shenhua
0
2
L
14.06.26
L1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Suzhou Dongwu
1
1
D
30.05.26
L1
Dalian K’un City
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
0
0
D
24.05.26
L1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Meizhou Hakka
0
1
L
17.05.26
FAC
Guizhou Xufengtang
Shijiazhuang Gongfu (Pen 2 - 4)
0
0
W
10.05.26
L1
Shenzhen Juniors
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
2
0
L
02.05.26
L1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Guangxi Hengchen
0
3
L
26.04.26
L1
Wuxi Wugou
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
0
0
D
Venue Records
Guangdong GZ-Power at Home
27.06.26
L1
Guangdong GZ-Power
Shaanxi Union
2
1
W
19.06.26
FAC
Guangdong GZ-Power
Beijing Guoan
1
2
L
29.05.26
L1
Guangdong GZ-Power
Shenzhen Juniors
0
0
D
24.05.26
L1
Guangdong GZ-Power
Yanbian Longding
3
4
L
02.05.26
L1
Guangdong GZ-Power
Nantong Zhiyun
3
1
W
19.04.26
L1
Guangdong GZ-Power
Meizhou Hakka
3
0
W
11.04.26
L1
Guangdong GZ-Power
Wuxi Wugou
1
0
W
14.03.26
L1
Guangdong GZ-Power
Ningbo Professional
2
0
W
08.11.25
L1
Guangdong GZ-Power
Nantong Zhiyun
3
1
W
26.10.25
L1
Guangdong GZ-Power
Shaanxi Union
2
2
D
Shijiazhuang Gongfu Away
04.07.26
L1
Ningbo Professional
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
2
1
L
30.05.26
L1
Dalian K’un City
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
0
0
D
17.05.26
FAC
Guizhou Xufengtang
Shijiazhuang Gongfu (Pen 2 - 4)
0
0
W
10.05.26
L1
Shenzhen Juniors
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
2
0
L
26.04.26
L1
Wuxi Wugou
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
0
0
D
05.04.26
L1
Shaanxi Union
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
1
0
L
14.03.26
L1
Nantong Zhiyun
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
2
1
L
01.11.25
L1
Foshan Nanshi
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
0
0
D
26.10.25
L1
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
0
0
D
05.10.25
L1
Nanjing City
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
1
3
W
Expert Analysis

On Saturday, 11th July 2026, Guangdong GZ-Power host Shijiazhuang Gongfu at Huangpu Sports Center (Guangzhou) in China League One. Our analysis points to Guangdong GZ-Power to win as the standout bet.

Guangdong GZ-Power come into this showing mixed form, with 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game.

Shijiazhuang Gongfu are struggling away from home — 1W 4D 5L in 10 games, scoring 0.4 and conceding 1.2 per match.

Historically, Guangdong GZ-Power have won 2 of the last 2 meetings against Shijiazhuang Gongfu, who have taken 0 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 2.5 goals.

With all factors considered, guangdong gz-power to win at 1.30 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Right, let us dig into this China League One fixture properly, because the surface-level version of this match and the actual version of this match are two very different things.

The hosts arrive on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. The headline is one thing; the story underneath is another. We want to know what kind of phase this team is in. Are they peaking, finding their rhythm just as the calendar gets serious? Or did they burn bright early and have quietly been running on fumes since? The recent results at home hold that answer, and Huangpu Sports Center (Guangzhou) has a way of either lifting a confident side or exposing a fragile one.

The away team responds with 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. There is a lag in how the market prices travelling form — a side that has sharpened up on the road over recent weeks can stay underpriced for a while, and a team coasting on an early-season away run can stay overpriced just as long. We try to catch that gap before it closes.

Stack the two profiles against each other and the lean becomes obvious. It is not about who is the bigger name; it is about who is in the better place right now, at this exact point in the season. Our call lands on 1 at @1.30, which we make roughly a 50,30,20% shout. Kick-off is 12:30 pm.

That is the pick and the reasoning behind it, laid bare. Swing through the rest of today’s tips while you are here — there is value scattered across the card if you know where to look.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Guangdong GZ-Power vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu?
Our top pick is 1 — Guangdong GZ-Power to win at around 1.30. Confidence: 60%.
What is Guangdong GZ-Power's recent form?
Guangdong GZ-Power have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Shijiazhuang Gongfu been performing?
Shijiazhuang Gongfu: 1W 4D 5L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Guangdong GZ-Power 2 wins vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu's 0, with 0 draws in 2 meetings. Avg 2.5 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.4 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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