Tip WON  ·  Mbeya City 0-1 Simba
🏆 Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara 📅 Wednesday, 17th June 2026
MBE
Mbeya City
W L D L L
0-1
VS
SIM
Simba
W W W W W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
2
We're backing Simba to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.25
~50% implied
Confidence
68%
Strong Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 2 — Simba to win @1.25
Simba Clean Sheet Away CS 55%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-30%
edge
No Value
Market implies 80% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -30% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Mbeya City
W L D L L W D L L D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
Simba
W W W W W W W D W W W
🔥 Hot 3 in a row
Momentum 80%
⚔ Head to Head
Mbeya City1W
Draw1
Simba8W
Supports Tip Simba won 8 of 10 meetings.
📈 Recent Form
Mbeya City wins2/10
Simba wins10/11
Goals per game2.9
H2H avg goals3
Supports Tip Simba: 10W 1D 0L from 11 games.
2-3-5
Mbeya City form
10-1-0
Simba form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
3
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Mbeya City
Overall
2.9
Scoring
2.0
Defence
3.3
Simba
Overall
9.4
Scoring
8.5
Defence
8.2
Key Analytics
Mbeya City
0.6
Goals
scored/game
2
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Simba
2.5
Goals
scored/game
0.5
Goals
conceded/game
55%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Home Win & BTTS No 9%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Away Win & BTTS No 40%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 9%
Home Win & Under 2.5 6%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 43%
Away Win & Under 2.5 27%
Match History
Head to Head
04.12.25
LKB
Simba
Mbeya City
3
0
13.04.25
FAC
Simba
Mbeya City
3
1
18.01.23
LKB
Simba
Mbeya City
3
2
23.11.22
LKB
Mbeya City
Simba
1
1
16.06.22
LKB
Simba
Mbeya City
3
0
17.01.22
LKB
Mbeya City
Simba
1
0
22.06.21
LKB
Simba
Mbeya City
4
1
13.12.20
LKB
Mbeya City
Simba
0
1
24.06.20
LKB
Mbeya City
Simba
0
2
03.11.19
LKB
Simba
Mbeya City
4
0
Recent Results
Mbeya City
13.06.26
LKB
Mbeya City
Mtibwa Sugar
1
0
W
26.05.26
LKB
Singida Black Stars
Mbeya City
4
1
L
21.05.26
LKB
Namungo
Mbeya City
1
1
D
13.05.26
LKB
Mbeya City
Coastal Union
0
2
L
09.05.26
LKB
JKT Tanzania
Mbeya City
1
0
L
04.05.26
LKB
Tanzania Prisons
Mbeya City
1
2
W
30.04.26
LKB
Mbeya City
Mashujaa
0
0
D
16.04.26
LKB
Young Africans
Mbeya City
6
0
L
12.04.26
FAC
Singida Black Stars
Mbeya City
5
1
L
09.04.26
LKB
Mbeya City
Azam
0
0
D
Simba
14.06.26
LKB
Simba
Pamba
2
1
W
24.05.26
LKB
Simba
Dodoma Jiji
1
0
W
21.05.26
LKB
Coastal Union
Simba
1
2
W
17.05.26
FAC
Simba
TRA United
4
0
W
14.05.26
LKB
Mashujaa
Simba
0
3
W
10.05.26
LKB
Simba
Tanzania Prisons
4
0
W
06.05.26
LKB
Simba
JKT Tanzania
1
0
W
03.05.26
LKB
Simba
Young Africans
2
2
D
19.04.26
LKB
Namungo
Simba
1
3
W
15.04.26
LKB
Fountain Gate
Simba
0
3
W
12.04.26
FAC
Simba
Dodoma Jiji
3
1
W
Expert Analysis

On Wednesday, 17th June 2026, Mbeya City host Simba in Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara. Our analysis points to Simba to win as the standout bet.

Mbeya City come into this going through a difficult run, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 0.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game.

Simba are travelling well — 10W 1D 0L in 11 games, scoring 2.5 and conceding 0.5 per match.

Historically, Mbeya City have won 1 of the last 10 meetings against Simba, who have taken 8 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 40% of those games, averaging 3 goals.

With all factors considered, simba to win at 1.25 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 2, which offers fantastic value at @1.25. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Mbeya City vs Simba?
Our top pick is 2 — Simba to win at around 1.25. Confidence: 68%.
What is Mbeya City's recent form?
Mbeya City have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 — poor form.
How has Simba been performing?
Simba: 10W 1D 0L from 11 games — very good form.
What is the H2H record?
Mbeya City 1 wins vs Simba's 8, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.9 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.