Tip WON Palmeiras 4-1 Junior
Match Programme Thursday, 28th May 2026
🏆 Copa Libertadores
PJ
P
Palmeiras
W L D W D
4
VS
J
Junior
W W D D W
1
Expert Selection
1
Backing Palmeiras to win
Score 1-1 12.5%
Odds
1.27
Confidence
58%
SOLID PICK
H 50%D 30%A 20%
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Page 2
⚡ Supporting Bets
Additional Angles
Primary Selection
1Palmeiras to win
1.27
Under 2.5 Goals70%
Page 3
🎲 Betting Angles at a Glance
Key Stats For Bettors
Value Assessment — Our Probability vs Market Odds
Our Probability
50%
Analyst estimate
Market Implied
79%
From odds 1.27
Overpriced
-29%
Market prices this higher
30%
Over 2.5
Goals Rate
50%
BTTS Rate
Recent
40%
H2H BTTS
Rate
2.8
H2H Avg
Goals/Game
Page 4
⚔ Head to Head
Historical Record
4
Palmeiras
1
Draws
0
Junior
Supports Bet Palmeiras won 4 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).
Page 5
📊 Statistical Comparison
Performance Data
Palmeiras
Stat
Junior
1.7
Goals Per Game
1.5
0.6
Conceded Per Game
1.2
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
5-4-1
W — D — L
5-3-2
Win Rate
50%
50%
Page 6
📈 Form Ratings
Analyst Grades
Palmeiras
Overall
6.2
Scoring
5.7
Defence
8.0
Junior
Overall
5.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
6.0
Page 7
🎯 Score Predictions
Poisson Model
Based on both teams' goals-per-game averages. Probabilistic estimates, not guarantees.
Top Pick
1-1
12.5% probability
Alternative 1
1-0
11.9% probability
Alternative 2
2-1
9.1% probability
Page 8
🔀 Combination Markets
Probability Estimates
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes19%
Home Win & BTTS No19%
Draw & BTTS Yes13%
Draw & BTTS No13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes19%
Away Win & BTTS No19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.511%
Home Win & Under 2.526%
Draw & Over 2.58%
Draw & Under 2.518%
Away Win & Over 2.511%
Away Win & Under 2.526%
Page 9
📜 Match Archive
Results Log
Head to Head
09.04.26COP
Junior
1
Palmeiras
1
11.04.19COP
Palmeiras
3
Junior
0
07.03.19COP
Junior
0
Palmeiras
2
17.05.18COP
Palmeiras
3
Junior
1
02.03.18COP
Junior
0
Palmeiras
3
Recent Results
Palmeiras
24.05.26SA
Flamengo RJ
0
Palmeiras
3
W
21.05.26COP
Palmeiras
0
Cerro Porteno
1
L
17.05.26SA
Palmeiras
1
Cruzeiro
1
D
14.05.26COP
Jacuipense
1
Palmeiras
4
W
10.05.26SA
Remo
1
Palmeiras
1
D
05.05.26COP
Sporting Cristal
0
Palmeiras
2
W
02.05.26SA
Palmeiras
1
Santos
1
D
30.04.26COP
Cerro Porteno
1
Palmeiras
1
D
26.04.26SA
Bragantino
0
Palmeiras
1
W
23.04.26COP
Palmeiras
3
Jacuipense
0
W
Junior
24.05.26PA
Junior
1
Santa Fe
0
W
21.05.26COP
Junior
3
Sporting Cristal
2
W
17.05.26PA
Santa Fe
1
Junior
1
D
14.05.26PA
Junior
2
Once Caldas
2
D
11.05.26PA
Once Caldas
0
Junior
1
W
08.05.26COP
Junior
0
Cerro Porteno
1
L
03.05.26PA
Junior
4
Dep. Pasto
3
W
29.04.26COP
Sporting Cristal
2
Junior
0
L
24.04.26PA
Cucuta
1
Junior
1
D
20.04.26PA
Junior
2
Llaneros
0
W
Page 10
📝 Expert Analysis
Match Preview

On Thursday, 28th May 2026, Palmeiras host Junior in Copa Libertadores. Our analysts back Palmeiras to win as the standout selection.

Palmeiras arrive showing mixed form: 5W 4D 1L from 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game.

Junior are inconsistent on the road: 5W 3D 2L from 10 games.

H2H: Palmeiras lead with 4 wins vs Junior's 0, with 1 draws in 5 meetings. BTTS in 40% of those games.

Verdict: palmeiras to win at 1.27 is our best value angle for this fixture.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Copa Libertadores clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.27. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Page 11
❓ Common Questions
Bettor FAQ
What is the best bet for Palmeiras vs Junior?
Selection: 1 — Palmeiras to win at ~1.27. Confidence: 58%.
What is Palmeiras's recent form?
Palmeiras: 5W 4D 1L from 10 games.
How has Junior been performing?
Junior: 5W 3D 2L from 10 games.
What does the H2H record show?
Palmeiras 4W vs Junior 0W, 1 draws in 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected?
Average 2.5 goals/game. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.