Tip WON  ·  KR Reykjavik 4-2 Hafnarfjordur
🏆 Iceland Besta deild karla 📅 Monday, 27th April 2026
KR
KR Reykjavik
W W W W D
4-2
VS
HAF
Hafnarfjordur
L L D W D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1X
We're backing KR Reykjavik to win or draw in this fixture.
Odds
1.14
~90% implied
Confidence
84%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1X — KR Reykjavik to win or draw @1.14
Goals Over 2.5 75%
Goals Over 1.5 85%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
+2.3%
edge
Fair Price
Market implies 87.7%, we estimate 90%. The price is roughly in line — bet on conviction, not on edge alone.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 18.6% $186.00
Half Kelly 9.3% $93.00
Quarter Kelly 4.7% $47.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
Form Streak Tracker
KR Reykjavik
W W W W L W W L D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Hafnarfjordur
L L D W D L L L D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
KR Reykjavik5W
Draw3
Hafnarfjordur2W
Supports Tip KR Reykjavik unbeaten in 8 of 10 H2H meetings.
📈 Recent Form
KR Reykjavik wins7/10
Hafnarfjordur wins2/10
Goals per game4.6
H2H avg goals2.8
Supports Tip KR Reykjavik unbeaten in 8 of 10 recent games.
7-1-2
KR Reykjavik form
2-3-5
Hafnarfjordur form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
2.8
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
KR Reykjavik
Overall
7.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
3.7
Hafnarfjordur
Overall
2.9
Scoring
5.3
Defence
4.7
Key Analytics
KR Reykjavik
4
Goals
scored/game
1.9
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Hafnarfjordur
1.6
Goals
scored/game
1.6
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 42%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 48%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
Match History
Head to Head
29.06.25
BK
KR Reykjavik
Hafnarfjordur
3
2
23.04.25
BK
Hafnarfjordur
KR Reykjavik
2
2
12.08.24
BK
KR Reykjavik
Hafnarfjordur
1
0
20.05.24
BK
Hafnarfjordur
KR Reykjavik
1
2
07.10.23
BK
Hafnarfjordur
KR Reykjavik
3
1
18.07.23
BK
KR Reykjavik
Hafnarfjordur
1
0
29.04.23
BK
Hafnarfjordur
KR Reykjavik
3
0
28.08.22
BK
KR Reykjavik
Hafnarfjordur
0
0
29.05.22
BK
Hafnarfjordur
KR Reykjavik
2
3
08.08.21
BK
KR Reykjavik
Hafnarfjordur
1
1
Recent Results
KR Reykjavik
23.04.26
BK
Vestmannaeyjar
KR Reykjavik
2
6
W
17.04.26
BK
KR Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri
5
2
W
12.04.26
BK
KR Reykjavik
Keflavik
3
2
W
06.04.26
CUP
KR Reykjavik
Valur
4
2
W
21.03.26
CUP
Fylkir
KR Reykjavik (4 - 4)
5
4
L
14.03.26
CUP
Stjarnan
KR Reykjavik
0
4
W
28.02.26
CUP
KR Reykjavik
Njardvik
5
1
W
19.02.26
CUP
Vikingur Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
1
0
L
14.02.26
CUP
KR Reykjavik
IR Reykjavik
3
3
D
07.02.26
CUP
KR Reykjavik
Grindavik
6
1
W
Hafnarfjordur
23.04.26
BK
Valur
Hafnarfjordur
3
0
L
17.04.26
BK
Stjarnan
Hafnarfjordur
3
2
L
12.04.26
BK
Vestmannaeyjar
Hafnarfjordur
1
1
D
04.04.26
CUP
Thor Akureyri
Hafnarfjordur
2
4
W
07.03.26
CF
Hafnarfjordur
Moss
1
1
D
03.03.26
CUP
Leiknir
Hafnarfjordur
2
1
L
27.02.26
CUP
Fylkir
Hafnarfjordur
3
0
L
19.02.26
CUP
Breidablik
Hafnarfjordur
1
0
L
12.02.26
CUP
Hafnarfjordur
Vestmannaeyjar
0
0
D
06.02.26
CUP
Throttur
Hafnarfjordur
0
7
W
Expert Analysis

On Monday, 27th April 2026, KR Reykjavik host Hafnarfjordur in Iceland Besta deild karla. Our analysis points to KR Reykjavik to win or draw as the standout bet.

KR Reykjavik come into this in strong form, with 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 4 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game.

Hafnarfjordur are struggling away from home — 2W 3D 5L in 10 games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.6 per match.

Historically, KR Reykjavik have won 5 of the last 10 meetings against Hafnarfjordur, who have taken 2 victories, with 3 draws. Both teams scored in 60% of those games, averaging 2.8 goals.

With all factors considered, kr reykjavik to win or draw at 1.14 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Iceland Besta deild karla clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1X, which offers fantastic value at @1.14. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for KR Reykjavik vs Hafnarfjordur?
Our top pick is 1X — KR Reykjavik to win or draw at around 1.14. Confidence: 84%.
What is KR Reykjavik's recent form?
KR Reykjavik have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Hafnarfjordur been performing?
Hafnarfjordur: 2W 3D 5L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
KR Reykjavik 5 wins vs Hafnarfjordur's 2, with 3 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.8 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 4.6 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.
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