Tip LOST  ·  Kalju 1-2 Parnu JK Vaprus
🏆 Estonia Meistriliiga 📅 Sunday, 26th April 2026
KAL
Kalju
W L D W W
1-2
VS
PAR
Parnu JK Vaprus
W D L L L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Kalju to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.24
~50% implied
Confidence
61%
Solid Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Kalju to win @1.24
Goals Over 2.5 65%
Goals Over 1.5 85%
H2H Over 2.5 80%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-30.6%
edge
No Value
Market implies 80.6% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -30.6% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Kalju
W L D W W W W W W D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 80%
Parnu JK Vaprus
W D L L L L L W W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Kalju7W
Draw2
Parnu JK Vaprus1W
Supports Tip Kalju won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Kalju wins7/10
Parnu JK Vaprus wins3/10
Goals per game3.1
H2H avg goals3.3
Supports Tip Kalju: 7W 2D 1L from 10 games.
7-2-1
Kalju form
3-1-6
Parnu JK Vaprus form
70%
H2H BTTS rate
3.3
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Kalju
Overall
7.6
Scoring
7.7
Defence
6.7
Parnu JK Vaprus
Overall
3.3
Scoring
3.0
Defence
3.3
Key Analytics
Kalju
2.3
Goals
scored/game
1
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Parnu JK Vaprus
0.9
Goals
scored/game
2
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 40%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
Match History
Head to Head
05.10.25
ML
Kalju
Parnu JK Vaprus
1
0
10.08.25
ML
Kalju
Parnu JK Vaprus
1
2
27.06.25
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Kalju
2
2
01.03.25
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Kalju
0
3
24.01.25
CF
Parnu JK Vaprus
Kalju
1
3
09.11.24
ML
Kalju
Parnu JK Vaprus
2
1
15.09.24
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Kalju
0
4
03.07.24
ML
Kalju
Parnu JK Vaprus
4
2
30.03.24
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Kalju
1
2
07.10.23
ML
Kalju
Parnu JK Vaprus
1
1
Recent Results
Kalju
05.10.25
ML
Kalju
Parnu JK Vaprus
1
0
W
10.08.25
ML
Kalju
Parnu JK Vaprus
1
2
L
27.06.25
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Kalju
2
2
D
01.03.25
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Kalju
0
3
L
24.01.25
CF
Parnu JK Vaprus
Kalju
1
3
L
09.11.24
ML
Kalju
Parnu JK Vaprus
2
1
W
15.09.24
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Kalju
0
4
L
03.07.24
ML
Kalju
Parnu JK Vaprus
4
2
W
30.03.24
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Kalju
1
2
L
07.10.23
ML
Kalju
Parnu JK Vaprus
1
1
D
Parnu JK Vaprus
21.04.26
ML
Kuressaare
Parnu JK Vaprus
0
1
W
18.04.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Tammeka
0
0
D
12.04.26
ML
Flora
Parnu JK Vaprus
2
0
L
08.04.26
ML
Levadia
Parnu JK Vaprus
2
1
L
04.04.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Harju JK Laagri
0
2
L
21.03.26
ML
Narva
Parnu JK Vaprus
2
1
L
14.03.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Parnu JK Vaprus
7
1
L
10.03.26
CUP
Parnu JK Vaprus
Tartu Welco
2
1
W
07.03.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Paide
3
2
W
15.02.26
CF
Parnu JK Vaprus
Narva
0
2
L
Expert Analysis

On Sunday, 26th April 2026, Kalju host Parnu JK Vaprus in Estonia Meistriliiga. Our analysis points to Kalju to win as the standout bet.

Kalju come into this in strong form, with 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game.

Parnu JK Vaprus are struggling away from home — 3W 1D 6L in 10 games, scoring 0.9 and conceding 2 per match.

Historically, Kalju have won 7 of the last 10 meetings against Parnu JK Vaprus, who have taken 1 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 70% of those games, averaging 3.3 goals.

With all factors considered, kalju to win at 1.24 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Estonia Meistriliiga clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.24. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus?
Our top pick is 1 — Kalju to win at around 1.24. Confidence: 61%.
What is Kalju's recent form?
Kalju have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Parnu JK Vaprus been performing?
Parnu JK Vaprus: 3W 1D 6L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Kalju 7 wins vs Parnu JK Vaprus's 1, with 2 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.1 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 70%.
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