Tip WON  ·  Kalju 7-1 Nomme Utd
🏆 Estonia Meistriliiga 📅 Wednesday, 22nd April 2026
KAL
Kalju
L D W W W
7-1
VS
NOM
Nomme Utd
L W L D L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Kalju to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.32
~50% implied
Confidence
53%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Kalju to win @1.32
Goals Over 2.5 65%
Goals Over 1.5 85%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-25.8%
edge
No Value
Market implies 75.8% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -25.8% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Kalju
L D W W W W W W D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Nomme Utd
L W L D L W L L W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 60%
⚔ Head to Head
Kalju2W
Draw2
Nomme Utd0W
Mixed Kalju won 2 of the last 4 meetings (2 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Kalju wins6/10
Nomme Utd wins4/10
Goals per game3.4
H2H avg goals2.3
Supports Tip Kalju: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games.
6-2-2
Kalju form
4-1-5
Nomme Utd form
25%
H2H BTTS rate
2.3
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Kalju
Overall
6.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
7.7
Nomme Utd
Overall
4.3
Scoring
8.7
Defence
4.0
Key Analytics
Kalju
1.6
Goals
scored/game
0.7
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Nomme Utd
2.6
Goals
scored/game
1.8
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 34%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
Match History
Head to Head
18.09.24
ML
Kalju
Nomme Utd
3
0
19.07.24
ML
Nomme Utd
Kalju
0
4
28.05.24
ML
Kalju
Nomme Utd
1
1
17.03.24
ML
Nomme Utd
Kalju
0
0
Recent Results
Kalju
19.04.26
ML
Paide
Kalju
1
0
L
12.04.26
ML
Kalju
Levadia
1
1
D
08.04.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Kalju
0
2
W
03.04.26
ML
Kalju
Narva
2
1
W
21.03.26
ML
Kalju
Kuressaare
4
0
W
15.03.26
ML
Flora
Kalju
0
1
W
08.03.26
ML
Tammeka
Kalju
0
1
W
28.02.26
SC
Flora
Kalju
1
3
W
21.02.26
CF
Kalju
Super Nova
1
1
D
14.02.26
CF
Paide
Kalju
2
1
L
Nomme Utd
18.04.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Harju JK Laagri
1
2
L
11.04.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Narva
5
1
W
08.04.26
ML
Paide
Nomme Utd
3
1
L
04.04.26
ML
Levadia
Nomme Utd
1
1
D
21.03.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Tammeka
2
3
L
14.03.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Parnu JK Vaprus
7
1
W
10.03.26
CUP
Flora
Nomme Utd
3
1
L
07.03.26
ML
Flora
Nomme Utd
3
0
L
20.02.26
CF
Viimsi JK
Nomme Utd
1
5
W
14.02.26
CF
Nomme Utd
FC Tallinn
3
0
Expert Analysis

On Wednesday, 22nd April 2026, Kalju host Nomme Utd in Estonia Meistriliiga. Our analysis points to Kalju to win as the standout bet.

Kalju come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.6 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game.

Nomme Utd are inconsistent on the road — 4W 1D 5L in 10 games, scoring 2.6 and conceding 1.8 per match.

Historically, Kalju have won 2 of the last 4 meetings against Nomme Utd, who have taken 0 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 25% of those games, averaging 2.3 goals.

With all factors considered, kalju to win at 1.32 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Estonia Meistriliiga clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.32. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Kalju vs Nomme Utd?
Our top pick is 1 — Kalju to win at around 1.32. Confidence: 53%.
What is Kalju's recent form?
Kalju have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Nomme Utd been performing?
Nomme Utd: 4W 1D 5L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Kalju 2 wins vs Nomme Utd's 0, with 2 draws in 4 meetings. Avg 2.3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.4 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 25%.
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