Tip WON  ·  Tartu Welco 3-2 Levadia U21
🏆 Estonia Esiliiga 📅 Friday, 17th April 2026
TAR
Tartu Welco
W W W W L
3-2
VS
LEV
Levadia U21
L L L L W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Tartu Welco to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.38
~50% implied
Confidence
47%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Tartu Welco to win @1.38
Goals Over 2.5 90%
Goals Over 1.5 95%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — Yes 75%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-22.5%
edge
No Value
Market implies 72.5% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -22.5% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Tartu Welco
W W W W L W D L L L
🥶 Cold 3 in a row
Momentum 20%
Levadia U21
L L L L W L W L W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 60%
⚔ Head to Head
Tartu Welco4W
Draw4
Levadia U212W
Against Tartu Welco won 4 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Tartu Welco wins5/10
Levadia U21 wins4/10
Goals per game4.4
H2H avg goals3.1
Mixed Tartu Welco: 5W 1D 4L from 10 games.
5-1-4
Tartu Welco form
4-0-6
Levadia U21 form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
3.1
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Tartu Welco
Overall
5.3
Scoring
8.7
Defence
3.3
Levadia U21
Overall
4.0
Scoring
6.3
Defence
2.7
Key Analytics
Tartu Welco
2.6
Goals
scored/game
2
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Levadia U21
1.9
Goals
scored/game
2.2
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 40%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 1%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 48%
Home Win & Under 2.5 5%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 38%
Away Win & Under 2.5 4%
Match History
Head to Head
27.09.25
Esiliiga
Levadia U21
Tartu Welco
1
1
12.07.25
Esiliiga
Tartu Welco
Levadia U21
3
0
29.05.25
Esiliiga
Levadia U21
Tartu Welco
3
3
20.04.25
Esiliiga
Tartu Welco
Levadia U21
1
0
19.09.24
Esiliiga
Levadia U21
Tartu Welco
1
0
20.07.24
Esiliiga
Tartu Welco
Levadia U21
1
1
26.05.24
Esiliiga
Levadia U21
Tartu Welco
2
2
21.04.24
Esiliiga
Tartu Welco
Levadia U21
3
2
17.11.21
Esiliiga
Levadia U21
Tartu Welco
2
0
03.10.21
Esiliiga
Tartu Welco
Levadia U21
3
2
Recent Results
Tartu Welco
11.04.26
Esiliiga
Nomme Kalju U21
Tartu Welco
1
5
W
03.04.26
Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21
Tartu Welco
1
3
W
21.03.26
Esiliiga
Tartu Welco
Maardu
5
1
W
14.03.26
Esiliiga
Flora U21
Tartu Welco
1
6
W
10.03.26
Estonian Cup
Parnu JK Vaprus
Tartu Welco
2
1
L
05.03.26
Esiliiga
Tartu Welco
Tallinna Kalev
3
0
W
25.02.26
Club Friendly
Narva
Tartu Welco
2
2
D
21.02.26
Club Friendly
Tartu Welco
Metta
0
4
L
24.01.26
Club Friendly
Harju JK Laagri
Tartu Welco
3
0
L
14.01.26
Club Friendly
Paide
Tartu Welco
5
1
L
Levadia U21
11.04.26
Esiliiga
Maardu
Levadia U21
3
2
L
05.04.26
Esiliiga
Levadia U21
Flora U21
1
3
L
21.03.26
Esiliiga
Elva
Levadia U21
3
2
L
16.03.26
Esiliiga
Levadia U21
Nomme Utd U21
0
1
L
07.03.26
Esiliiga
Levadia U21
Nomme Kalju U21
2
0
W
21.02.26
Club Friendly
Levadia U21
Tallinna Kalev
1
4
L
15.02.26
Club Friendly
Levadia U21
FC Tallinn
3
2
W
07.02.26
Club Friendly
Viimsi JK
Levadia U21
3
1
L
31.01.26
Club Friendly
Levadia U21
Nomme Kalju U21
4
1
W
24.01.26
Club Friendly
Maardu
Levadia U21
2
3
W
Expert Analysis

On Friday, 17th April 2026, Tartu Welco host Levadia U21 in Estonia Esiliiga. Our analysis points to Tartu Welco to win as the standout bet.

Tartu Welco come into this showing mixed form, with 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game.

Levadia U21 are inconsistent on the road — 4W 0D 6L in 10 games, scoring 1.9 and conceding 2.2 per match.

Historically, Tartu Welco have won 4 of the last 10 meetings against Levadia U21, who have taken 2 victories, with 4 draws. Both teams scored in 60% of those games, averaging 3.1 goals.

With all factors considered, tartu welco to win at 1.38 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Estonia Esiliiga clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.38. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Tartu Welco vs Levadia U21?
Our top pick is 1 — Tartu Welco to win at around 1.38. Confidence: 47%.
What is Tartu Welco's recent form?
Tartu Welco have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Levadia U21 been performing?
Levadia U21: 4W 0D 6L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Tartu Welco 4 wins vs Levadia U21's 2, with 4 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.1 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 4.4 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.
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